IMD predicts on Cyclone Tej in the Arabian Sea

IMD predicts on Cyclone Tej in the Arabian Sea

IMD predicts that a low-pressure area over the southeast and the adjoining southwest Arabian Sea has developed into a depression and expected to intensify into a cyclonic storm by October 21 morning.

This would be the second cyclonic storm in the Arabian Sea this year called ‘Tej’, according to a formula followed for naming cyclones in the Indian Ocean Region.

Reportedly, as per IMD, the cyclonic storm is predicted to further intensify into a severe cyclonic storm on Sunday and move toward the south coasts of Oman and adjoining Yemen.

Meanwhile, Arabian Sea has now emerged as hotbed for cyclones. But, meteorologists caution that at times, storms may deviate from the predicted track and intensity, as seen in the case of cyclone Biparjoy, which formed in the Arabian Sea in June and initially moved in a north-northwest direction before changing course to make landfall between Mandvi in Gujarat and Karachi in Pakistan.

However, Skymet Weather, a private forecasting agency informs that a majority of models indicate of the storm heading for the Yemen-Oman coast.

But, the Global Forecast System models suggest a recurvature while positioned over the deep central parts of the Arabian Sea, steering the system towards Pakistan and the Gujarat coast, it said.

A cyclonic storm is characterised by a maximum sustained wind speed of 62-88 kmph, while it is termed a severe cyclonic storm if the maximum sustained wind speed reaches 89-117 km per hour.

News Edit K.V.Raman